VolFanNC09
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You're over thinking it man. Alabama lost 2 games by a total of 4 points to highly ranked teams. Tennessee got blown out by a unranked team and gave up 63 points just last week.One game only has one outcome. It's either a W or an L. The magnitude only comes into play if you have two teams that are closely situated and things like absolute record,head to head, record vs common opponents, and record vs ranked opponents, and there is literally no other way to differentiate the teams, then you can rely on things like who has the best looking road uniforms or who lost the worst.
Edit: here is another more rational way to look at it. One of the most stable predictors of wins and losses is aggregate talent differences that you can get from something as simple as 4 year team composite talent rankings.
UT has the 19th most talented roster and went to the 20th most talented team and lost by 25.
Ohio State (3) lost at home by 22 to the 14th most talented roster.
If you adjust out very real home field advantage you get that UT lost to a team with talent closely resembling UT by 22. And Ohio State lost to a significantly less talented Michigan by 25.
There's no way the powers to be will let us jump Bama, NO WAY! Oh, and by the way, run that mouth some more Dabo!!!With head to head records both 10-2, —Tennessee beat Bama and LSU (on the road), Bama lost to both UT and LSU (on the road)
SOS for both teams about the same
South Carolina win AT Clemson makes our beat down eye test not quite as bad ( yeah we blew it, but we still pulled out 10-2 record with tough road wins at Pitt and LSU)
VOTE!
The way in which Tennessee lost to South Carolina will be the deciding factor. Alabama lost two road games by, what, 3 points? Four points? Both high scoring. That's almost literally what the committee means when they say "eye test." And Alabama has the tradition of winning, Nick Saban, and Bryce Young on their side. Voters can say they won't consider those sorts of things, but we know some will - subconsciously if nothing else.
Had Tennessee looked competitive at South Carolina, this conversation is completely different. But Tennessee didn't. They blinked. And the voters will look at both teams and say "Alabama was a consistently strong team that had a few trip ups at the end of tough road games. Tennessee can score like crazy but their defense is inconsistent and sometimes non-existent." Barring some sort of epic collapse by multiple teams next week, It's over.
Those scores shouldn't matter when you're looking at two teams with the same record, in the same conference, and have a game where who is the better team was decided on the field even if you avoid looking at other meaningful criteria like records vs common opponents.You're over thinking it man. Alabama lost 2 games by a total of 4 points to highly ranked teams. Tennessee got blown out by a unranked team and gave up 63 points just last week.
Well the committee disagrees with you so actually that's the most important thing. We had our opportunity they gave us national attention and respect. Then we shat the bed in South Carolina. We only can blame ourselvesThose scores shouldn't matter when you're looking at two teams with the same record, in the same conference, and have a game where who is the better team was decided on the field even if you avoid looking at other meaningful criteria like records vs common opponents.
You're starting at the least important metrics and moving up, I'm starting at the most important and moving down the list.
Well the committee disagrees with you so actually that's the most important thing. We had our opportunity they gave us national attention and respect. Then we shat the bed in South Carolina. We only can blame ourselves
Well the committee disagrees with you so actually that's the most important thing. We had our opportunity they gave us national attention and respect. Then we shat the bed in South Carolina. We only can blame ourselves
The head-to-head result should be the tie-breaker when comparing two teams who have the same overall record, and the same conference record, with a similar strength of schedule. Comparing losses is unnecessary when there is a head-to-head matchup to consider. So what, that it could have gone either way? Tennessee should be ranked ahead of Alabama. PERIOD.It sucks, but if you compare our losses it isnt really close. Bama lost 2 very close games to top 10/top 5 teams. We lost handily to the number one team and got absolutely destroyed by a team we should've beat by 3 touchdowns.
Yes, we beat bama but it could've easily gone either way and our loss to USCe (and how bad we lost) is bad enough to cancel out the head to head.
With head to head records both 10-2, —Tennessee beat Bama and LSU (on the road), Bama lost to both UT and LSU (on the road)
SOS for both teams about the same
South Carolina win AT Clemson makes our beat down eye test not quite as bad ( yeah we blew it, but we still pulled out 10-2 record with tough road wins at Pitt and LSU)
VOTE!
You lost me... I'm doneLots of teams have done that .... OSU, LSU, Clemson ... would love for the other 4 to do the same ... honestly TCU should have lost to both Texas and Baylor and UM should have lost to Illinois. UGA has constantly, (except for Tennessee) played down to their opponents. None of the top 4 are all that.
Their best argument is two “good losses” our best argument is 2 good wins one of which includes beating them and their other good loss we manhandledIt sucks, but if you compare our losses it isnt really close. Bama lost 2 very close games to top 10/top 5 teams. We lost handily to the number one team and got absolutely destroyed by a team we should've beat by 3 touchdowns.
Yes, we beat bama but it could've easily gone either way and our loss to USCe (and how bad we lost) is bad enough to cancel out the head to head.