Nightmare Scenario

[Vol8188]

What’s brand got to do with any of it?

Are we not one of the top spenders in NIL? Are we not a part of the richest conference, chosen by ESPN and Disney over thr Big 10 and ACC? Are we not one of the largest fan bases?

I don’t think playoff rankings are concerned with NIL.

 

[BreatheUT]

We’re talking about staying among the top 12 teams in the sport. Any loss to an unranked team is a bad loss.

So it's not the bad loss, it's when it happened like Ohio State today?

 

[Vol8188]

Miami could still get in as an at large team, but no way they will be ahead of us. No quality wins on their resume. At this point, Florida is the best win they have and we beat them head to head.

We are getting in as an at large team too.

Florida at Florida is a solid win. Same with Louisville at Louisville.

Both are probably top 25 wins if we are doing power rankings

 

[kiddiedoc]

What’s brand got to do with any of it?

Are we not one of the top spenders in NIL? Are we not a part of the richest conference, chosen by ESPN and Disney over thr Big 10 and ACC? Are we not one of the largest fan bases?

Anyone talking about Tennessee not making the playoff is a numbnut, at this point.

 

[sechamp2012]

A&M wins the SEC
Miami doesn’t fall below us after their loss
Texas stays ahead of us despite their loss
Oh State wins the Big 10

1. Oh St
2. Texas A&M
3. SMU
4. Boise
5. Az State
6. Penn State
7. Indiana
8. Miami
9. Georgia
10. Texas
11. Notre Dame
12. Oregon

I’m not saying that will be the order (haven’t taken the time to think about the exact order), only saying there’s a chance we could be left out if those things happen

 

[BreatheUT]

Miami doesn’t have any bad losses and they have a quality win over Florida.

I understand what you're trying to say butFlorida is not looked at as a quality win. Possibly Louisville is though.

 

[wmcovol]

A&M wins the SEC
Miami doesn’t fall below us after their loss
Texas stays ahead of us despite their loss
Oh State wins the Big 10

1. Oh St
2. Texas A&M
3. SMU
4. Boise
5. Az State
6. Penn State
7. Indiana
8. Miami
9. Georgia
10. Texas
11. Notre Dame
12. Oregon

I’m not saying that will be the order (haven’t taken the time to think about the exact order), only saying there’s a chance we could be left out if those things happen

Much of that ain’t happening

 

[adam.vol]

So it's not the bad loss, it's when it happened like Ohio State today?

I’m sorry, but I can’t answer your question as I don’t understand what you’re asking.

 

[Vol8188]

Miami does not have two bad losses. They have two road losses to above average teams that are going to bowls.

Agreed. Those are 2 very good teams. We lost to an elite team and an average team. So I kind of see that as a wash

 

[Delmar]

A&M wins the SEC
Miami doesn’t fall below us after their loss
Texas stays ahead of us despite their loss
Oh State wins the Big 10

1. Oh St
2. Texas A&M
3. SMU
4. Boise
5. Az State
6. Penn State
7. Indiana
8. Miami
9. Georgia
10. Texas
11. Notre Dame
12. Oregon

I’m not saying that will be the order (haven’t taken the time to think about the exact order), only saying there’s a chance we could be left out if those things happen

That’s 10 minutes of your life wasted that you’ll never get back. (Surely you didn’t waste more than 10 minutes on that did you?)

 

[YankeeVol]

Lol Oregon from 1 to 12?
Arizona state from like 19 to 5?
I’m confused as to how this was even thought out.

It wasn't

 

[adam.vol]

I don’t think playoff rankings are concerned with NIL.

Again, what does brand have to do with anything?

 

[Sudden Impact]

ohio State cant win the b1g

O

A&M wins the SEC
Miami doesn’t fall below us after their loss
Texas stays ahead of us despite their loss
Oh State wins the Big 10

1. Oh St
2. Texas A&M
3. SMU
4. Boise
5. Az State
6. Penn State
7. Indiana
8. Miami
9. Georgia
10. Texas
11. Notre Dame
12. Oregon

I’m not saying that will be the order (haven’t taken the time to think about the exact order), only saying there’s a chance we could be left out if those things happen

Ohio State may not be in the CFP after their rumble with Michigan.
Texas AM may win one game but not two.
Miami loss today may eliminate them
Does SMU get in if Clemson beats them.
3 SEC team slots = Texas, GA, Tennessee. 4 if Tx AM wins out. GA is out if they lose to Texas A&M

 

[BreatheUT]

What’s wrong with my scenario

You posted this less than an hour ago when Ohio State can't win the Big Ten Championship because they are out. There is no need to even go past this fact.

 

[vols40]

A&M wins the SEC
Miami doesn’t fall below us after their loss
Texas stays ahead of us despite their loss
Oh State wins the Big 10

1. Oh St
2. Texas A&M
3. SMU
4. Boise
5. Az State
6. Penn State
7. Indiana
8. Miami
9. Georgia
10. Texas
11. Notre Dame
12. Oregon

I’m not saying that will be the order (haven’t taken the time to think about the exact order), only saying there’s a chance we could be left out if those things happen

Did you consider this before A&M went down 14 at home? This is also a week after losing to Awlbun.

 

[Vol8188]

Again, what does brand have to do with anything?

Brand is a huge part of rankings. Ohio St and Miami will not take massive drives because they’re naturally seen as better than a number of other 2 loss teams based on their historic brand.

The same with Bama right now. Voters and committees see Bama and a list of other 3 loss teams and they just naturally list Bama ahead of them based on brand

 

[adam.vol]

Anyone talking about Tennessee not making the playoff is a numbnut, at this point.

I really just wanted to clarify what’s been on my mind tonight, which is Miami and Ohio State should both get ranked appropriately, in comparison to 2 loss teams.

 

[Vol8188]

Did you consider this before A&M went down 14 at home? This is also a week after losing to Awlbun.

I think the odds are low, but it can happen.

The biggest thing I was wrong about is that Indiana is unlikely to jump us. That’s probably the least likely part of this scenario to happen

 

[BreatheUT]

I’m sorry, but I can’t answer your question as I don’t understand what you’re asking.

If it was just having a bad loss then UT, and several other teams would have no shot. It's that fact that Miami had a bad loss today. If they had a good loss then would that make a difference? BTW, Syracuse is not that bad. They are 9-3.

 

[Vol8188]

You posted this less than an hour ago when Ohio State can't win the Big Ten Championship because they are out. There is no need to even go past this fact.

Sure, I didn’t realize that. But that doesn’t change the scenario. The scenario is more so about anyone other than Oregon winning, ensuring an extra team from that conference is in.

If Penn State loses they may be out. But if they win, they could get 4 teams in.

 

[BreatheUT]

Agreed. Those are 2 very good teams. We lost to an elite team and an average team. So I kind of see that as a wash

I wouldn't call them good teams either but I'd say Georgia Tech is like Arkansas based on the game last night against Georgia. They can rise up and bite you.

 

[Vol8188]

O

Ohio State may not be in the CFP after their rumble with Michigan.
Texas AM may win one game but not two.
Miami loss today may eliminate them
Does SMU get in if Clemson beats them.
3 SEC team slots = Texas, GA, Tennessee. 4 if Tx AM wins out. GA is out if they lose to Texas A&M

You’re saying 4 if A&M wins but you’re also saying Georgia is out? You lost me there.

It’ll be interesting to see how Miami and Oh State are handled. Same with Texas if they lose. And I’m not convinced we will automatically be ahead of all 3

 

[njvols]

What are you even saying here? It makes no sense whatsoever based off what we already know. The Vols are in. Period. Even though 97% isn't 100%, there is no scenario where they aren't in. The only question is where are they seeded.

Ditto

 

[Samatwing]

I think the most likely we would see something like the following:

Ohio State/Tennessee
Indiana/Notre Dame
Penn State / Big 12 Winner
Texas / SMU

This. It also creates “match ups”. 2 big programs and 2 matchups with in state rivalries. If it ended right now, I’d guess we’d host osu. They aren’t gonna reward osu with a home game after that. But a lot of football left.

 

[adam.vol]

Brand is a huge part of rankings. Ohio St and Miami will not take massive drives because they’re naturally seen as better than a number of other 2 loss teams based on their historic brand.

The same with Bama right now. Voters and committees see Bama and a list of other 3 loss teams and they just naturally list Bama ahead of them based on brand

Look, the more we talk about this, the less I think you know what you’re saying. Miami’s conference discontinued football and they have not competed for anything on the national stage since joining the ACC.

Jimmy Johnson isn’t coming back. Kevin Shapiro’s Ponzi Scheme is no longer available as a booster. Talking up Miami is like bringing up last night’s showing on TV Land to the break room at work. They’re probably going to ask why haven’t you retired yet.