Here's the way I see it... CJ Leak will begin the season as the starter. He will struggle somewhat at the beginning of the season, but not make the rookie mistakes that really get you beat. Hopefully, the running game will help him out the first few games till he gets steady. And, imho, as long as the Vols keep winning, then CJ will be the starter (see 1998). I think he'll still be the starter after even 1 loss. But add a 2nd loss, and I think one of the freshman qbs gets the nod.
From a historical perspective, I don't remember any true freshman quarterback starting his first game at UT. Even in recent history, when a freshman starts a majority of games during a season, that season is usually a letdown. The season with Manning as a starter the Vols were 8-4, and the season were C.Clausen became starter the Vols were 8-4. Conversely, the last upperclassman to get a start after biding his time was Tee Martin... and he struggled too, but led the Vols to an undefeated season and national championship! As good as Chris Leak finished the season for Florida last season, his first few games he made plenty of mistakes, some of which cost the hated Gators dearly.
Remember Tee's first game? against Syracuse: 9-of-26, 143 yds, 2 tds+1 rush td.
Florida: 7-of-20, 64 yds, 1 td.
Houston: 14-of-19, 234 yds, 4 tds.
Auburn: 5-of-14 for 68 yds and no tds.
Georgia: 16-of-26 for 156 yds, 2 tds, 2 int.
Alabama: 10-of-14 for 117 yds, 2 rush tds.
S.Carolina: 23-of-24, 315 yds, 4tds.
UAB: 18-of-25, 274 yds, 1 td+1 rush td.
Arkansas: 10-of-27, 155 yds, 1 td+ 1 rush td, 1 int.
Kentucky: 13-of-20, 189 yds, 1 td+1 rush td.
Vanderbilt: 13-of-20, 241 yds, 1td+1 rush td.
SEC Championship: 15-of-32, 208 yds, 2 tds, 1 int.
National Championship: 11-of-18, 278 yds, 2 tds :number1:
Tee Martin had the intangibles of leadership and the will to win no matter what. Remember to have some patience with CJ, as long as he doesn't make the big mistakes, during the first few games. If Riggs finally gets it together, and CJ is a steady veteran qb, this could be a very special season.
If one of the freshman finishes the season as starter, the Vols will probably end up with no better than 8 wins 'cause that means that the veteran qbs lost a few and the coaches set the sites on the future.
Just my $0.02 :twocents: