Fighting Possum
U of Memphis AFROTC INSTR
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- Nov 18, 2011
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If we are able to pull off an upset over one of the above mentioned teams, then Mizzou, Vandy, UK and the other OOC games would fall in to the games we should win category. In that scenario it is impossibe to win all of the games that we "should win" AND pull an upset with less than 7 wins.IMPORTANT: Assume that we beat everyone on our schedule who we are supposed to beat, and that one of our six wins comes from either Oregon, UF, Bama, UGA, or USCe.
Bravely said. Complete tosh but bravely stated. :jpshakehead:
Knowing what we have for talent currently...yes, I guess I would be happy with 6-6.
Dooley produced a 6-6 record against a schedule as difficult as this year or more so. He inherited not a single starting OL. No QB who was on the roster the year before. No DT's. A LB corps LED by a walk on.
So you guys really think it is OK for Jones to do less with more than Dooley did in his first year?
Not because of players.Jones also inherited the worst defense in school history.
I'd say inheriting a program built by Fulmer/Kiffin is better than inheriting anything Dumba€€ Dooley could have built.
Not because of players.
Virtually the same players minus experience and players like Lanier, Couch, Sentimore, McCullers was mid-pack in '11 under Wilcox. The '12 D was horrible because of bad coaching more than bad players. If this year's D is bad... it will be for a similar reason.
And you would be absolutely wrong and contrary to the FACTS but why should you try something new?
Rather than argue about it, just search the web for the '10 UT roster and depth chart then compare to what was left to Jones. There IS NO comparison. The only position that was better was receiver with Moore and Jones returning. The WORST of it was the lines where there were NO returning OL starters and only one player capable of starting AND NO DT's. A walk on and DE's made up the DT position.
In every respect, Jones inherits a better program. Fulmer put it in the dumpster by being lazy. Kiffin started cleaning things up within the program but quit before really starting to rebuild anything. Dooley flat out could not coach. But he CAN administer/manage a program. He improved LT in that regard and appears to have improved UT in that regard.
According to Rivals, UT will have more talent than at least 8 of its opponents and possibly 9 (Auburn?).
UT has 5 guys on the OL who will probably be drafted next spring. They have one and possibly two LB's who will be drafted next spring. They have 2 DT's who will probably be drafted.
EVERYONE... except maybe Bama is looking to fill voids right now.
Take USCe for instance. They lost their top two RB's. They lost Ace Sanders who was easily their most dynamic player on O. They lost over half their INT's. They lost 7 of their top 10 tacklers and 10 of their 19 players who had more than 10 tackles.
And remember... according to the recruiting services, Dooley left Jones MORE talent than USCe has.
This year is VERY MUCH a test of whether Jones is the right coach. He DOES inherit talent. There are holes to fill but that's what coaches do every year. A 6-6 finish with this team will be a strong indicator that he's outclassed in the SEC.
Pencil in a win...Greater than 50% probability of a win
Austin Peay
Western Kentucky
South Alabama
Missouri
Kentucky
Toss Up 50%
Auburn
Vanderbilt
Less Than 50%
Oregon
Florida
Georgia
South Carolina
Alabama
With only 5 more than likely victories, and 2 games that are toss ups this makes me think that statistically 6 wins should be the mark we can expect.
Personally I think Georgia and South Carolina are beatable opponents. We give them both a fight every year, and if the offense can get the ball rolling at that point in the year, I think we pull the upset against one of them. 7-5 is our safest best finish, with 8-4 being a possibility IMO.