Path to a #1 seed

#203
#203
Tomorrow is a game that doesn’t eliminate you from 1-seed contention with a loss but really really opens an opportunity up to slide back up to the top line with a win. Gonna be tough and A&M is coming off a road loss which doesn’t necessarily help either. Maybe a week off helps and we come out playing our A-game. On the other hand, we’ve had a week off and a rusty performance probably wouldn’t shock me.
 
#211
#211
VolCalls said:
If we win and they lose tomorrow, yes. More importantly, we need to beat them next Saturday. The reason they are still ahead of us, albeit barely, is their SOS, which is #2. Both teams have 8 Quad 1 wins.
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Yep. We need to be 1 game better than Bama. We can be 1 game worse than UF and Houston though, at least imo.
 
#212
#212
Feels like they are all must wins the rest of the way if we’re going to get a 1 seed. With the closing stretch we have, I don’t see that happening. Realistically, a 3-2 close would be acceptable and likely puts us safely on the 2 line.
 
#213
#213
ABtheVolsfan92 said:
that would be great man, we could use some inside info
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Nothing on the internet so far. I'll keep a check on that, tho. Called my neighbor who is actually the one that can usually get some info, but he couldn't get a hold of his source. Left a message, tho. It's so late and the game so early we might not find anything until game time.😏
 
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#214
#214
hUTch2002 said:
It seems Iowa State will be missing their 2 best scorers so Houston should win that one. You never know of course.
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I was hoping they may be the ones to give Houston another loss. Texas Tech probably our only hope now. They beat them once already this year, but it's tough to get a sweep. I don't think Kansas or Baylor have anything for them but that Baylor game is at least in Waco.
 
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#215
#215
Anti-shunshinepumper said:
I was hoping they may be the ones to give Houston another loss. Texas Tech probably our only hope now. They beat them once already this year, but it's tough to get a sweep. I don't think Kansas or Baylor have anything for them but that Baylor game is at least in Waco.
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Yeah, that is problematic. If Houston has 2 losses fewer than us they’ll get the nod over us.
 
#216
#216
VolsAgainstTheWorld15 said:
Feels like they are all must wins the rest of the way if we’re going to get a 1 seed. With the closing stretch we have, I don’t see that happening. Realistically, a 3-2 close would be acceptable and likely puts us safely on the 2 line.
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If we win them all a 1 is a lock. If we lose 1 we might need a little help from Houston, Bama and/or Florida. I think we would still be a 1 but my confidence goes from 100% at 5-0 to 70% at 4-1. Lose 2 and odds are we’re a 2. I’d say there’s about a 5% chance of a 1 seed then.
 
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#218
#218
VolCalls said:
Houston is not a threat as long as we keep winning. We were three spots ahead of them on the Committee’s seed reveal last week and control our own destiny.
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Agreed if we don’t lose. If we drop a game, that’s where the problem could come in. Let’s just win the last 4 so it’s not an issue!
 
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#219
#219
I’m more worried about LSU and Ole Miss on the road than I am Bama at home. Really need to beat those 2 teams on the road, we’re just flat out better than both.
 
#220
#220
It’s impossible for Florida and Bama to both win out because they still have a game against each other. That helps.

If we win out I think we get the last 1 seed over the loser of UF/Bama
 
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#221
#221
If Illinois could do anything with Duke tonight that would help, but is a good common opponent barometer.

Selfishly, I'd rather be a 2 seed in Atlanta than a 1 seed in San Francisco
 
#222
#222
TartanTurff said:
If Illinois could do anything with Duke tonight that would help, but is a good common opponent barometer.

Selfishly, I'd rather be a 2 seed in Atlanta than a 1 seed in San Francisco
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We can’t be the #2 seed in the South (Atlanta) unless we’re the 5th highest ranked SEC team on the S-Curve. The first four teams from a conference have to be placed in four different regions and Auburn has all but locked up the #1 seed in the South.
 
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#223
#223
pimo1 said:
This, I think 1 more SEC gets a 1 seed and Houston or Purdue slide in and stela the last one. Purdue is in the best position. They play Michigan State then no one else of consequence until their conference tourney. Houston has a pretty bumpy ending but if they win out they will definitely be in play.

The SEC teams have to play each other then probably face each other again in the tourney.
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Anti-shunshinepumper said:
Oof.....that Purdue #1 Seed projection.
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Double Oof!
Actually, Quadruple Oof!
Purdue has now lost 4 in a row!
 
#224
#224
I still think it comes down to FL or TN. Which one ends up with the better record the next games will get a #1 seed. If we tie, you give nod to FL.

If Bama loses to FL and/or TN they’ll slide out and will get replaced by Houston. That would leave:
1Auburn
1Duke
1Houston
1FL or TN
————
2FL or TN
2Bama
 
#225
#225
Dougie_D said:
I still think it comes down to FL or TN. Which one ends up with the better record the next games will get a #1 seed. If we tie, you give nod to FL.

If Bama loses to FL and/or TN they’ll slide out and will get replaced by Houston. That would leave:
1Auburn
1Duke
1Houston
1FL or TN
————
2FL or TN
2Bama
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Why do you have Houston ahead of us when the selection committee has us ranked ahead of them?
 
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